Predictive engine · v2 · 6 / 12 / 24-month outlook

The Forecast.

Project the calendar window for your allocation and the probability of getting the call within 6, 12 or 24 months. Sign in for the personalised range, then upgrade to Concierge for trajectory projections and full rationale.

Forward-looking · not current wait times

Looking for what the wait log says today across your watchlist? That lives on My Tracker. Predictions is the calendar-forward view: when the call is most likely, and where the wait is heading.

Sample

0 reports — directional

Last updated

just now

Sources

Member wait log 2026 snapshots Engine v2 source /methodology

Sample = verified member reports. Predictions weight observations against a Bayesian prior of k = 30 so single outliers do not overfit.

Public baseline

Desired model

This is the projected months-to-allocation for a buyer with no purchase history and a neutral relationship — a forward estimate, not a snapshot of today's wait log. Members see a personalised range tuned to their tier, spend, region and relationship score.

For what the wait log looks like right now across your saved references, see My Tracker.

Projected wait · neutral buyer

1908 White Gold · 52509

—months

Public baseline · neutral buyer profile

Based on 0 verified reports

Members unlock

Your personalised 8-in-10 wait window · tier-adjusted estimate · region weighting · 4 what-if scenarios · the rationale behind every number.

Sensitivity analysis · preview

+1 visit / yr

— mo

Member-only what-if scenario.

+$10k spend

— mo

Member-only what-if scenario.

Step up history tier

— mo

Member-only what-if scenario.

Switch region

— mo

Member-only what-if scenario.

Sensitivity tiles, the full lucky-vs-patient wait range and the rationale are reserved for members. Membership is free.